Why AP Hasn't Called the Arizona Governor's race

 WASHINGTON (AP) — The Associated Press has not yet called the open governor's race in Arizona between Democratic Secretary of State Katie Hobbs and Republican Cary Lake, a former TV broadcaster.  Hobbs lead is insurmountable.


Vote counting is underway in Arizona from Tuesday's midterm elections, with officials in the state's 15 counties releasing tallies of votes as they are processed.

The tallying timeline

  Almost all voting in Arizona is by mail, although some voters vote in person at polling stations.  Most Arizona counties do not count ballots at home, instead officials bring them to a central facility.

  Early votes in Arizona can be counted as they come in, meaning officials don't have to wait until polls begin on Election Day.

  Arizona official release their vote total in batches. Much of the focus is on Maricopa, the state's largest county, with a total of 4.5 million residents — more than half of Arizona totals population — and nearly 2.4 million registered voters.

But other big releases are coming from Arizona's next two most populous counties: Pima (home to Tucson) and Pinal, a large, suburban area south of metro Phoenix.


  Here's the situation so far, starting with the latest information:

  Sunday, Nov.  13

  -Maricopa: A batch of nearly 97,000 votes in Maricopa County Sunday night broke for Lake by about 10 percentage points.  That leaves 94,000 votes in Maricopa.

  -Pima: On Sunday, Pima County released nearly 12,000 votes, favoring Hobbs Lake by a margin of 3 to 2.

  -PINAL: An 8,500-ballot batch released Sunday from Pinal County favored Hobbs over Lake by about 10 percentage points.

  Saturday, Nov.  12

  -Maricopa: On Saturday, Maricopa County officials released a batch of about 85,000 ballots, breaking a little more than half to Lake.

  -Pima: In the nearly 20,000-ballot batch Pima County released Saturday, Hobbs had a nearly 30-percentage-point edge over Lake.

  Officials said no vote releases are planned for Pima County on Sunday.  Pinal County did not release vote totals Friday or Saturday.

Friday, Nov.  11

  -Maricopa: At about 10 a.m. Eastern Time on Friday, officials in Maricopa released another batch of 75,000 ballots, which Democratic Sen.  It provided enough information for the AP to determine that Mark Kelly had won re-election against Republican Blake Masters.

  But that still wasn't enough for AP to call a winner in the governor's race.  Bach favored Hobbs over Lake by less than 10 percentage points.

  -Pima: Friday's vote in Pima County favored Hobbs by about 25,000 and about 2 to 1 over the lake.  Officials said only 6,000 ordinary ballot papers remained to be verified on Saturday.

  Thursday, Nov.  10

  -Maricopa: On Thursday, Maricopa County reported a total of 78,000 votes, a batch favoring Hobbs by 10 percentage points.

  -Pima: Pima County released nearly 32,000 vote loads Thursday, favoring Hobbs by nearly 30 percentage points.

  -Pinal: Pinal County's nearly 8,500 ballots released Thursday favored Lake by about 10 percentage points.

  Wednesday, Nov.  9

-Maricopa: On Wednesday evening, Maricopa County officials released their first batch of vote totals, which did not include any of the 275,000 early ballots received on Election Day.

  In all, Maricopa officials reported a total of 225,065 votes, favoring Lake by more than 30 percentage points.

  -Pima: Pima County's release of votes Wednesday is about 83,000, outpacing Lake Hobbs by more than 20 percentage points.

  -Pinal: Wednesday's turnout from Pinal County totaled 75,000, with more than 20 percent in favor of the lake.

  Tuesday, Nov.  8

  -Maricopa: On Election Day, about 837,000 votes came from Maricopa County, which favored Hobbs over Lake by more than 10-points.

  -Pima: Pima County officials reported nearly 190,000 votes, including a more than 2-1 margin in Hobbs Lake.

  -Pinal: Officials in Pinal County released about 38,000 votes, which were split roughly equally between Hobbs and Lake.

Remains of the day

  In all of Arizona, officials said Sunday, about 171,000 ballots remained to be counted, including about 94,000 remaining votes in Maricopa County.  Dozens of the remaining votes are ballots that came in on Election Day — votes known in some places as "late earlys" that are known to hold up the tabulation.

  In all, Maricopa officials said they processed a record number of early ballots — 290,000 — dropped on Election Day.



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